LIVE TAPE · ANTHROPIC INVESTOR DAY · OCT 14, 2026
Anthropic Investor Day tape
As of October 13, 2026, the author holds long positions in DXYZ, SKM, ZM, AMZN, GOOG, NVDA, NSLR and PWRL. The DXYZ exposure includes options. The author also holds a direct long position in Anthropic through an SPV. Positions are subject to change without notice. (1d ago)
LOADINGFetching four venues…
IMPLIED ANTHROPIC VALUATION · HYPERLIQUID io:ANTH ↗HELD (SPV)
—
Since 00:00 ET
—
Since 9:30 open
—
Waiting for 5m candles since 00:00 ET
Mark — ($B) · 24h — · OI — · 24h volume — · funding —
A perpetual-futures mark, not a priced round or a tender. With — of open interest and — of daily volume, a few million dollars of flow can move this number and the meter below.
POLYMARKET · EXPECTED FIRST-DAY CLOSE ↗
—
— since 00:00 ET
Conditional on IPO by 2027 · normalized brackets, “No IPO” excluded
POLYMARKET · IPO BY NOV 30 ↗
—
— since 00:00 ET
Listed and open for trading by the date
KALSHI · IPO CONFIRMED BEFORE 2027 ↗
—
— since 00:00 ET
S-1 effective, IPO priced, or ticker assigned, not first trade
POLYMARKET · BEST MODEL END OF OCT ↗
—
— since 00:00 ET
First-day closing market cap
Bracket market unavailable.
Unusual move meter
io:ANTH 15-minute move vs its own 30-day volatility
—
0σ1.5σ3σ5σ+
Peak today: — (largest rolling 15-minute move since 00:00 ET)
Volatility gauge, not a signal. io:ANTH mark vs its price 15 minutes ago (—), rolling, ÷ the standard deviation of 15-minute returns over the trailing 30 days (—, n=—). Calm <1.5σ · Moving 1.5–3σ · Something's up >3σ.
Sigma through the day
Rolling 15-minute io:ANTH move at every minute since 00:00 ET, in units of the 30-day 15-minute σ. Dots mark ≥3σ; hover or tap for details. A move that reverses within 15 minutes shows again with the opposite sign 15 minutes later; those echoes are drawn hollow and not counted.
Waiting for 1m candles since 00:00 ET
Volume vs normal
Per venue, each against its own recent history
Volume unavailable.
Public proxies
Yahoo Finance (tickers link to quotes) · “vs QQQ” is the simple difference from QQQ over the same window. HELD marks a position disclosed above. Volume is today's shares as a share of a 20-day average full day, not projected, so it climbs through the session.
Model Anthropic and OpenAI exposure per $100 at any IPO valuation on the AI Per $100 look-through →Ticker
Last
Day
Since 9:30
Day vs QQQ
9:30 vs QQQ
Vol / 20d avg day
Sources: Hyperliquid io dex (io:ANTH, io:OAI marks, 5m/15m candles) · Polymarket Gamma and CLOB price history · Kalshi trade API (bid/ask mid) · Yahoo Finance v8 charts. “Since 00:00 ET” compares against the last print at or before midnight Eastern.
As of —.
Public market data only. Not affiliated with Anthropic.